Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.028086 0.030287 0.032494 0.034868 0.037347 0.039855 0.042581
2025-10-05 0.024445 0.027977 0.031642 0.035713 0.040093 0.044649 0.049734
2025-10-12 0.021663 0.025970 0.030559 0.035778 0.041515 0.047600 0.054509
2025-10-19 0.019483 0.024325 0.029603 0.035725 0.042576 0.049953 0.058446
2025-10-26 0.018228 0.023560 0.029486 0.036473 0.044401 0.053042 0.063098
2025-11-02 0.016830 0.022508 0.028935 0.036631 0.045480 0.055233 0.066693
2025-11-09 0.015518 0.021454 0.028297 0.036610 0.046287 0.057061 0.069833
2025-11-16 0.014346 0.020488 0.027691 0.036563 0.047009 0.058749 0.072777
2025-11-23 0.013218 0.019503 0.027002 0.036363 0.047507 0.060142 0.075352
2025-11-30 0.012260 0.018671 0.026448 0.036280 0.048103 0.061619 0.077999
2025-12-07 0.011161 0.017597 0.025545 0.035728 0.048105 0.062372 0.079785
2025-12-14 0.010114 0.016530 0.024599 0.035079 0.047951 0.062913 0.081296
2025-12-21 0.008932 0.015256 0.023387 0.034117 0.047458 0.063111 0.082494
2025-12-28 0.008587 0.015112 0.023626 0.034978 0.049205 0.066001 0.086898
2026-01-04 0.007954 0.014524 0.023255 0.035043 0.049957 0.067688 0.089875
2026-01-11 0.007330 0.013909 0.022814 0.034991 0.050542 0.069160 0.092587
2026-01-18 0.007045 0.013766 0.022993 0.035729 0.052105 0.071812 0.096708
2026-01-25 0.006577 0.013323 0.022740 0.035885 0.052925 0.073552 0.099734
2026-02-01 0.006085 0.012810 0.022368 0.035865 0.053506 0.074991 0.102389
2026-02-08 0.005622 0.012311 0.021991 0.035819 0.054039 0.076360 0.104955
2026-02-15 0.005147 0.011761 0.021517 0.035621 0.054362 0.077460 0.107186
2026-02-22 0.004741 0.011294 0.021141 0.035539 0.054821 0.078718 0.109604
2026-03-01 0.004239 0.010628 0.020445 0.034994 0.054658 0.079187 0.111045